Mike Sambo, the national
coordinator of Zimbabwe’s International Socialist Organisation,
explained to Green Left Weekly’s Steve Marks on February
16 what lies behind the regeneration of class struggle in
the country.
Inflation, officially running at 1600%, and the economic crisis
are making people desperate. Transport is out of reach and
we all now walk long distances to get to our places of work
and study. Basic commodities can’t be found in the shops
and those sold on the parallel market are simply unaffordable.
Companies go bust and thousands of workers are sacked each
week. In schools and colleges, fees are now so high that education
is almost unaffordable.
The students in Bulawayo who started
to protest last month against the fees and the manoeuvres
of President Robert Mugabe to stay in office for an extra
two years have ignited a spark. This time police repression
didn’t deter them and they kept at it and other students
have followed their example. Electricity workers and doctors
in the public health sector have also started to press their
demands and have gone on strike.
This week, more than 1000 Women of
Zimbabwe Arise activists staged their annual Valentine’s
Day marches in Harare and Bulawayo. The police arrested
hundreds of the women, including babies, as they distributed
roses. Public servants, nurses and teachers are now threatening
strikes as well.
We last saw a rise of class struggle
like this in 1997. The government only extricated itself
then by a series of manoeuvres, including a partial shift
to the left — such as implementing measures like price
controls, land reform and food subsidies.
The time bought then has now run
out and Mugabe is now besieged by both local and international
capital and a hungry mass of people. In desperation he is
reversing his state capitalist stabilisation strategies
and eliminating the last of the welfarist measures.
The government has basically moved
towards implementing a full neoliberal economic program.
However, this is all backfiring. Deregulation has only fueled
inflation: 5000 Zimbabwean dollars (in reality $5 million
as they took three zeroes off the currency last year) is
only worth one US dollar on the parallel market. It will
now be almost impossible for Mugabe to fool people again.
Not even the capitalists are really impressed by his policy-making
on the run. No-one takes his talk of recovery seriously.
To avert a total economic implosion,
Reserve Bank governor Gideon Gono is trying, unsuccessfully,
to convince the government to make a peace deal with the
opposition and capital via some transitional arrangement.
This would allow the official “opposition”,
the Movement for Democratic Change (MDC), to join the government
as a junior partner. However, this will mean intensified
attacks on the workers and the poor in general.
The MDC has its own problems anyway.
It is split down the middle, and one of the points of difference
is whether it is best to aim to strike a deal with the ruling
party, ZANU-PF (Zimbabwe African National Union —
Patriotic Front), or try to ride the mass movement and oust
Mugabe that way. However, both MDC factions are committed
to a pro-capitalist solution to Zimbabwe’s crisis.
Serious opposition organisations
need to intervene and to advance the economic struggles
and generalise them into political challenge to the state.
We can take advantage of the fact that ZANU-PF is divided
into three factions, each backing a different candidate
to eventually succeed Mugabe. Even the state apparatus is
at this juncture relatively weak. The police themselves
are now among the least paid in the country. There is less
hostility from the police to protests as there was in the
past — that’s something we certainly notice!
The sharp economic situation has
pushed workers and students towards a desperate struggle
for survival and their struggles for a living wage will
certainly intensify in the coming weeks. The lightning announcing
this thunder is already flashing.